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Patterns in the Dark - Understanding Risk & Financial Crisis with Complexity Theory EE Peters

Patterns in the Dark - Understanding Risk & Financial Crisis with Complexity Theory By EE Peters

Patterns in the Dark - Understanding Risk & Financial Crisis with Complexity Theory by EE Peters

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Summary

A fascinating account of one of today's great paradoxes: The irreducible uncertainty that lies at the heart of social and economic order. A perfectly efficient market could not possibly work. Uncertainty reduces risk. Ed Peters takes our most cherished beliefs, tuns them upside down, and convinces us that they're much better that way.

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Patterns in the Dark - Understanding Risk & Financial Crisis with Complexity Theory Summary

Patterns in the Dark - Understanding Risk & Financial Crisis with Complexity Theory by EE Peters

A groundbreaking look at complexity theory and its implications in the world of finance Complexity theory tells us that processes with a large number of seemingly independent agents-such as free markets-can spontaneously organize themselves into a coherent system. In this fascinating book, Edgar Peters brings together scientific theory, the artistic process, and economics to show how the randomness and uncertainty of complexity theory can be applied to financial markets. Written in an engaging and accessible style, this is a thoughtful, conceptual look at the way free markets are, by their nature, continually evolving complex systems. Expanding on previous explorations of chaos theory, Peters draws on real-life examples ranging from the Asian crisis to America's love of conspiracy to show that complexity and randomness are necessary for the free markets to operate in a competitive manner.

Patterns in the Dark - Understanding Risk & Financial Crisis with Complexity Theory Reviews

Edgar E. Peters's latest book, Patterns in the Dark: Understanding Risk and Financial Crisis with Complexity Theory is not merely an autobiographical indulgence. The bulk of the book is Peters's lucent analysis expounding on the need for uncertainty. Whether he uses the example of genetic algorithms to show how randomness can lead a process to a goal even when the ultimate path is unknown, or if he simply shows how David Bowie's creation of Ziggie Stardust illustrates the integration of two seemingly contrary elements in the creative process (with a nod toward uncertainty as a requirement for stability), Peters's always seems to provide compelling insight into how global structure and local randomness interact. Edgar E. Peters's latest book, Patterns in the Dark: Understanding Risk and Financial Crisis with Complexity Theory is not merely an autobiographical indulgence. The bulk of the book is Peters's lucent analysis expounding on the need for uncertainty. Whether he uses the example of genetic algorithms to show how randomness can lead a process to a goal even when the ultimate path is unknown, or if he simply shows how David Bowie's creation of Ziggie Stardust illustrates the integration of two seemingly contrary elements in the creative process (with a nod toward uncertainty as a requirement for stability), Peters's always seems to provide compelling insight into how global structure and local randomness interact. Ultimately, the book's implications for global structure policymakers are more clear than any prescriptions that might be handed down to individual investors acting in an environment of local randomness. However, the discussions regarding various process models and their implications for economic activity are worth the price of admission alone. Interested investors ought to check it out.--(Fool On The Hill - An Investment Opinion by Alex Schay - June 1999)

About EE Peters

EDGAR E. PETERS is Chief Investment Strategist for PanAgora Asset Management. He is the author of Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets: A New View of Cycles, Prices, and Market Volatility and Fractal Market Analysis: Applying Chaos Theory to Investment and Economics, both published by Wiley.

Table of Contents

Introduction: Life, Risk, and Uncertainty. UNCERTAINTY, COMPLEXITY, AND SPONTANEOUS ORGANIZATION. Imposing Order: Conspiracies and the Mathematics of Ignorance. Uncertainty, Vagueness, and Ambiguity: The Need for Information. Complexity and Time: The Dynamics of Uncertainty. FREE MARKETS AND THE NEED FOR UNCERTAINTY. Subjectivism: The Economics of Time and Ignorance. Diversity and Knowledge. Crisis and Competition: Creative Destruction in Free Markets. Economic Evolution: Change in Real Time. Creativity: Uncertainty, Innovation, and Entrepreneurs. Rules and Law: Limits in Complexity. Degrees of Order: Balancing Rules, Freedom, and Uncertainty. The Need for Uncertainty. References. Index.

Additional information

CIN047123947XG
9780471239475
047123947X
Patterns in the Dark - Understanding Risk & Financial Crisis with Complexity Theory by EE Peters
EE Peters
Used - Good
Hardback
John Wiley & Sons Inc
19990526
240
N/A
Book picture is for illustrative purposes only, actual binding, cover or edition may vary.
This is a used book - there is no escaping the fact it has been read by someone else and it will show signs of wear and previous use. Overall we expect it to be in good condition, but if you are not entirely satisfied please get in touch with us

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