Experts in Uncertainty by Roger M Cooke

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Experts in Uncertainty by Roger M Cooke

Regular price $31.98
Condition - Good
1 In stock
Regular price $31.98
Condition - Good
1 In stock

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Experts in Uncertainty by Roger M Cooke

This is an extensive survey and critical examination of the literature on the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making. Cooke considers how expert opinion is being used today, how an expert's uncertainty is or should be represented, how people do or should reason with uncertainty, how the quality and usefulness of expert opinion can be assessed, and how the views of several experts might be combined. He argues for the importance of developing practical models with a transparent mathematical foundation for the use of expert opinion in science, and presents three tested models. Detailed case studies illustrate how they can be applied to a diversity of real problems in engineering and planning.
`so clearly and meticulously presented.. a book that is so clear and honest about the limmitations of its approach, is to be warmly welcomed as a contribution to a discussion which is by no means ended.' New Scientist
`valuable and important book' Isaac Levi, Columbia University
`clearly and meticulously presented ... a book that is so clear and honest about the limitations of its approach, is to be warmly welcomed as a contribution to a discussion which is by no means ended.' New Scientist
SKU CIN0195064658G
ISBN 13 9780195064650
ISBN 10 0195064658
Title Experts in Uncertainty
Author Roger M Cooke
Series Environmental Ethics And Science Policy Series
Condition Good
Publisher Oxford University Press Inc
Year published 1992-01-30
Number of pages 336
Cover note Book picture is for illustrative purposes only, actual binding, cover or edition may vary.
Note This is a used book - there is no escaping the fact it has been read by someone else and it will show signs of wear and previous use. Overall we expect it to be in good condition, but if you are not entirely satisfied please get in touch with us