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Reckoning with Risk Gerd Gigerenzer

Reckoning with Risk von Gerd Gigerenzer

Reckoning with Risk Gerd Gigerenzer


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Zusammenfassung

This volume offers a treatment for the "disease" of statistical illiteracy. Aimed at helping us understand risks in the real world, it shows how a proper understanding of uncertainties can make the difference between hope and despair.

Reckoning with Risk Zusammenfassung

Reckoning with Risk: Learning to Live with Uncertainty Gerd Gigerenzer

In the beginning of the 20th century, the father of modern science fiction, H.G. Wells, predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. Yet, a century on, most of us, from TV weather forecasters to the American President, seem to have no idea of how to reason about uncertainties. This volume offers a treatment for the "disease" of statistical illiteracy. Aimed at helping us understand risks in the real world, it shows how a proper understanding of uncertainties can make the difference between hope and despair.

Über Gerd Gigerenzer

Gerd Gigerenzer is Director of the Center for Adaptive Behaviour and Cognition in Berlin, and a former Professor of Psychology at the University of Chicago. Dan Dennett writes: "Gigerenzer is one of the smartest psychologists I know, and he's bursting with great ideas. His topic is dynamite".

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Part 1 Dare to know: uncertainty; the illusion of uncertainty; innumeracy; insight. Part 2 Understanding uncertainties in the real world: breast cancer screening; (un)informed consent; Aids counselling; wife battering; experts on trial; DNA fingerprinting; violent people. Part 3 From innumeracy to insight: how innumeracy can be exploited; fun problems; teaching clear thinking.

Zusätzliche Informationen

GOR001288707
9780713995121
0713995122
Reckoning with Risk: Learning to Live with Uncertainty Gerd Gigerenzer
Gebraucht - Sehr Gut
Broschiert
Penguin Books Ltd
2002-07-04
320
Short-listed for Aventis Prize for Science Books 2003
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