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Optimal Control, Expectations and Uncertainty Sean Holly (University of Cambridge)

Optimal Control, Expectations and Uncertainty By Sean Holly (University of Cambridge)

Optimal Control, Expectations and Uncertainty by Sean Holly (University of Cambridge)


$25.99
Condition - Very Good
Only 1 left

Summary

An examination of how the rational expectations revolution and game theory have enhanced the understanding of how an economy functions.

Optimal Control, Expectations and Uncertainty Summary

Optimal Control, Expectations and Uncertainty by Sean Holly (University of Cambridge)

The rational expectations revolution and other developments in economics (notably game theory) have fundamentally altered the application of optimal control theory to economic forecasting and planning. In particular, they have shown that economic systems cannot be modelled simplistically on physical systems. However, as the authors of this volume show, these developments have greatly enhanced our understanding of how an economy functions, and now make it possible for optimal control theory to be applied much more effectively to economic modelling and planning. This book is divided into two parts. The first presents the orthodox framework but extends it to allow for multiplicative uncertainty, risk and non-linearities in the econometric model. The second part looks explicitly at the question of expectations. It provides methods by which forward-looking expectations can be treated jointly with the determination of economic policy. It also examines game-theoretic considerations - where, for instance, policy makers may have incentive to renege on their commitments.

Optimal Control, Expectations and Uncertainty Reviews

"...a nicely written book that covers a wealth of optimization tools originating from optimal and stochastic control and game theory, in a context of policy making in economics....a good introduction to the topic for those who would want to pursue research in dynamic decision making under uncertainty." Tamer Ba^D,sar, Mathematical Reviews

Table of Contents

Preface; 1. Introduction; 2. The theory of economic policy and the linear model; 3. Optimal-policy design; 4. Uncertainty and risk; 5. Risk aversion, priorities and achievements; 6. Non-linear optimal control; 7. The linear rational-expectations model; 8. Policy design for rational-expectations models; 9. Non-cooperative, full-information dynamic games; 10. Incomplete information, bargaining and social optima; Notes; References; Index.

Additional information

GOR013713701
9780521264440
0521264448
Optimal Control, Expectations and Uncertainty by Sean Holly (University of Cambridge)
Used - Very Good
Hardback
Cambridge University Press
1989-07-20
260
N/A
Book picture is for illustrative purposes only, actual binding, cover or edition may vary.
This is a used book - there is no escaping the fact it has been read by someone else and it will show signs of wear and previous use. Overall we expect it to be in very good condition, but if you are not entirely satisfied please get in touch with us

Customer Reviews - Optimal Control, Expectations and Uncertainty