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The Distortion Theory of Macroeconomic Forecasting Steven Marquard

The Distortion Theory of Macroeconomic Forecasting By Steven Marquard

The Distortion Theory of Macroeconomic Forecasting by Steven Marquard


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Summary

This book contends that central bank policy pits the Federal Reserve against consumers, creating business cycles and inflation.

The Distortion Theory of Macroeconomic Forecasting Summary

The Distortion Theory of Macroeconomic Forecasting: A Guide for Economists and Investors by Steven Marquard

This book contends that central bank policy pits the Federal Reserve against consumers, creating business cycles and inflation. As the cycle proceeds, the velocity of money starts to rise, complicating the central bank's problems. Ultimately, either a depression or a runaway inflation develops. The gold standard would not alter patterns of supply and demand and would prevent business cycles and inflation.

Central bank policies inevitably alter patterns of supply and demand from what they would be, based on consumer sovereignty. This changes the mix of human and physical capital available to produce a mixture of consumer goods. The economy struggles to right itself against these imbalances. Ultimately, the monetary velocity and price inflation start to rise, worsening the government's problems. In time, either a traditional depression or a runaway inflation results. The gold standard would prevent the twin evils of recession and price inflation. Investment professionals, corporate economists and others in strategic and financial planning capacities will find Mr. Marquard's book both challenging and provocative.

About Steven Marquard

STEVEN MARQUARD is President of Smilodom Financial Consulting, Berkeley, California, and holds an MBA in Applied Economics from the University of California, Berkeley./e A certified public accountant, he has also been Chief Economist for Southern Pacific and the Assistant Treasurer for Bio-Rad Laboratories.

Table of Contents

Introduction Macro-Economic Principles Money Systems and Depression The Capital Structure Money, Prices, and Velocity Interest and Credit Banking Functions Business Cycle Theories The Fractional Reserve Standard The Rise of Paper The Basic Error Direct Distortion The Money Illusion Bank Credit Expansion Gresham's Law and Velocity Induction Empirical Velocity Interest Intensive Production Processes Real and Nominal Interest Rates The Business Cycle Black Box The Stock Market The Budget Deficit Anatomy of a Business Cycle Anatomy of a Depression Anatomy of an Inflation Phase Price Controls, Income Policies, and Indexing A Long or a Short Depression? The Full Gold Standard The Full Gold Standard Summary Bibliography Index

Additional information

NPB9780899309101
9780899309101
0899309100
The Distortion Theory of Macroeconomic Forecasting: A Guide for Economists and Investors by Steven Marquard
New
Hardback
Bloomsbury Publishing Plc
1994-07-21
224
N/A
Book picture is for illustrative purposes only, actual binding, cover or edition may vary.
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