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On the Cusp Charles S. Pearson (Professor Emeritus, International Economics, Professor Emeritus, International Economics, School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University, Washington, DC)

On the Cusp By Charles S. Pearson (Professor Emeritus, International Economics, Professor Emeritus, International Economics, School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University, Washington, DC)

Summary

Charles Pearson provides a comprehensive and accessible inquiry into the world population trends. Melding economic and demographic analysis, the book plots a course from Malthus to new challenges for pensions, healthcare and sustainable growth.

On the Cusp Summary

On the Cusp: From Population Boom to Bust by Charles S. Pearson (Professor Emeritus, International Economics, Professor Emeritus, International Economics, School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University, Washington, DC)

For much of its history, human population growth increased at a glacial pace. The demographic rate only soared about 200 years ago, climaxing in the period 1950-2000. In that 50-year span, the population grew more than it had in the previous 5000 years. Though these raw numbers are impressive, they conceal the fact that the growth rate of population topped out in the 1960s. The apparent population boom may be approaching a population bust, despite our coexistence with more than seven billion people. In On the Cusp, economist Charles Pearson explores the meaning of this population trend from the arc of demographic growth to decline. He reviews Thomas Malthus's famous 1798 argument that human population would exceed the earth's carrying capacity, and explains why this surfaces periodically when birth rates strongly exceed 2.1 children per household. Analyzing population trends through dual lenses - demography and economics - Pearson examines the potential opportunities and challenges of population decline and aging. In many industrialized countries, the combination of an aging population and considerable food security may call for policies that boost fertility, immigration, and worker participation, reform pension schemes, and ease concern over moderating rates of population and economic growth. Sharp and occasionally funny, Pearson's research has thought-provoking implications for future public policies. Pearson ends his analysis with a mildly hopeful conclusion, noting that both the rich and the poor face a new demographic order. Bold and comprehensive, general readers and students alike will find On the Cusp an informative and engaging read.

On the Cusp Reviews

"This is a refreshingly comprehensive and inspiring summary of the state of the art in population and development. It is not limited to conventional wisdom but covers exciting new fields relating to human capital and redefining age. I will make it compulsory reading for my students." Wolfgang Lutz, Founding Director, Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital and Director, World Population Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Austria "On The Cusp is an excellent book. It is clear with a strong and well-delivered message and a solid empirical base. On a subject where theory is often either glossed over or oversimplified, the exceptionally strong theoretical underpinning of On The Cusp is to be applauded." Stuart Basten, Associate Professor in Social Policy, University of Oxford "Pearson, an economist and research director at the School of Advanced International Studies with a passion for writing popular economics books, surveys the demography and economics literature on this topic in a precise yet engaging manner...The research has implications for future public policies, and the book's ending is hopeful...perhaps even Panglossian...a total reversal from the Malthusian gloom-and-doom scenarios that continue to influence thinking on this topic to this day." J. Bhattacharya, Iowa State University

About Charles S. Pearson (Professor Emeritus, International Economics, Professor Emeritus, International Economics, School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University, Washington, DC)

Professor Emeritus, International Economics, School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University, Washington, DC

Table of Contents

Chapter 1: Introduction ; Chapter 2: The Long and Baleful Shadow of Thomas Robert Malthus ; Chapter 3: Malthus Redux ; Chapter 4: Population and Economic Growth ; Chapter 5: Optimal Population: An Attractive Chimera? ; Chapter 6: Demographic Transitions ; Chapter 7: The Upside of Downsizing ; Chapter 8: Downsizing: The Pessimist's Case ; Chapter 9: Aging: Retirement, Health, and the Generational Bargain ; Chapter 10: Coping Strategies ; Chapter 11: Concluding Thoughts

Additional information

NPB9780190223915
9780190223915
019022391X
On the Cusp: From Population Boom to Bust by Charles S. Pearson (Professor Emeritus, International Economics, Professor Emeritus, International Economics, School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University, Washington, DC)
New
Hardback
Oxford University Press Inc
2015-08-20
256
N/A
Book picture is for illustrative purposes only, actual binding, cover or edition may vary.
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